PAS Selangor Bakal Kalah Disemua Kawasan Campuran Dalam PRU13?

Apakah PAS bakal kalah dalam kesemua kerusi DUN yang mempunyai campuran penduduk Melayu, Cina dan India dalam pilihanraya akan datang?

Dalam PRU 12 lalu, dikerusi yang mempunyai majoriti penduduk Melayu, PAS tewas kesemuanya kepada Umno. PAS hanya memenangi lapan kerusi dikawasan yang mempunyai penduduk pelbagai bangsa.

Oleh kerana PAS Selangor yang diketuai oleh Hasan Ali meneruskan garis “Taliban” dan berminat untuk “berkahwin” dengan Umno, tidak mustahil mereka akan kalah dikesemua lapan kerusi yang mereka ada sekarang.Rata-rata rakyat bukan Melayu tidak akan melupakan tindakan Hasan Ali dan PAS Selangor sepanjang pemerintahan PR di Selangor.

Malahan, ramai anak-anak muda Melayu juga tidak akan memberikan undi kepada PAS kerana parti tersebut terutama pemudanya lebih berminat untuk mengharamkan konsert daripada melawan rasuah.

Baca analisis penuh di bawah.

Perkara ini tidak mustahil berlaku. Sindrom PRU 2004 tidak mustahil berulang. Masih ingat PRU 2004?

Apatah lagi dikala negara diperintah oleh seseorang yang tidak akan melepaskan kuasanya semudah dengan pilihanraya. -Amin Iskandar

PAS Selangor at a crossroads?

By Neville Spykerman

SHAH ALAM, Dec 23 — PAS may end up the biggest losers in Selangor come the next general elections.

The Islamic party, which won eight out of the 56 state seats in Election 2008, in mostly urban or semi-urban constituencies, stands to lose the support of non-Muslims who make up between 20 and 40 per of voters in these constituencies, according to its own ground reports.

PAS contested a further 12 seats in predominantly rural Malay majority constituencies but lost all of them to Umno.

A PAS state lawmaker, who did not want to be named, told The Malaysian Insider that the support the party received from non-Muslims is dissipating.

“I don’t even know if I can retain my own seat in the next general elections.

“I’m on the ground, we meet the non-Malays and know they are not happy,” he said, adding that their main grouse is against the state Pas leadership, which has invited one controversy after another.

Earlier this year, PAS Commissioner Datuk Dr Hasan Ali proposed a beer ban for Muslim-majority areas and moved to empower mosques officials to arrest Muslims caught drinking.

Although PAS attempted to explain that the proposals, which were eventually not implemented, would only affect Muslims, it triggered uneasiness among non-Muslims and created the perception that the party was pushing a hard-line Islamic agenda.

Non-muslims make up 47 per cent of Selangor ‘s population.

Worse still, Hasan has repeatedly clashed with his Pakatan Rakyat (PR) partners.

He made an open challenge in the media calling for his State Executive colleague, Ronnie Liu, to resign for allegedly ordering the Shah Alam City Council (MBSA) to return beer seized illegally from a 7-Eleven outlet.

More recently he caused another stir by undermining the authority of the special select committee for competency, accountability and transparency (Selcat) which was investigating abuse of state funds by former Barisan Nasional (BN) lawmakers just before the general elections last year.

Hasan accused Speaker Teng Chang Khim, who heads the state government watchdog, of bullying civil servants during a public inquiry into the misuse of funds.

“I think we are going to be in trouble if there is no change in direction or in the state leadership,” said the Pas lawmaker.

Ibrahim Suffian from the Merdeka Center for Independent Research who spoke to The Malaysian Insider did not, however, completely share the lawmaker’s pessimism.

“Overall PAS is gaining more support from non-Muslims, more so now after last week’s PR Convention when they reiterated their stand with the coalition.”

Before the March 8 general elections, non-Malay sentiment was to vote for any party which was not in the ruling BN coalition including PAS despite the reservations they might have had about the Islamic party.

In subsequent by-elections, Chinese and Indians, especially in Perak, willingly voted for PAS.

However, in Selangor, he could not discount the negative publicity generated by Pas Selangor including forcing their values on non-Muslims.

“Their urban seats could be in jeopardy.”

Whether Selangor PAS continues to clash with their PR partners and alienate non-Muslims could depend on the party’s disciplinary committee.

Hasan, along with his one-time deputy, Shah Alam MP Khalid Samad, who has openly criticised the former’s policies have been hauled up before the committee for “jeopardizing the party’s image.”

Both men have responded to show-cause letters and the disciplinary committee is expected to decide on the next course of action today.

The committee could decide there is no case to answer, which would lead to status quo in the state leadership, or opt to suspend or remove Hasan as state commissioner, but this is unlikely because of his close links to PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang, who appointed him in the first place.

The most likely outcome could be a face-saving slap on the wrist for either Hasan or for both men.

However, a party insider said this may be enough to get the state leadership to toe the line. -Malaysian Insider

Ulasan GB

Renungilah. Dan pandangan umum menyatakan bukan sahaja PAS Selangor akan bermasalah, tetapi juga negeri-negeri yang pemimpin PAS bersetuju dengan gagasan Kerajaan Perpaduan dulu akan menghadapi masalah termasuk Terengganu dan Pahang.